December 16, 2024
2024 started warm as 1878, 1889, 1998 and 2016. These were years following strong El Nino years. Most of the years continued to be neutral by the end of the respective year. It strated trending close to1889 and later 1998 heading from El Nino to neutral condition. The switch to La Nina is delayed and most model predictions are adjusting to this condition. The cooling has slowed and the year is ending at neutral state. Rainfall pattern under neutral conditions is not clear.
Annual Summary - 2024 is ending as neutral pstate.
Abtew, W. and P. Trimble. 2010. El Niño Southern Oscillation Link to South Florida Hydrology and Water Management Applications. Water Resources Management, 24(5):4255-4271,
Abtew, W., A. Melesse and T. Dessalegne. 2009. El Niño Southern Oscillation link to the Blue Nile River Basin Hydrology. Hydrological Processes. Vol. 23:3653-3660; DOI:10.1002/hyp.7367
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